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Major League Baseball Betting Trends, Free Pick April 20 (Podcast)

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Apr/20/2019

Gambling911.com has your Major League Baseball betting trends for Saturday April 20.


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Twins vs. Orioles

Which Team/Total Outcome Stands Out Here:

OVER (only because it's rare to see more action on the UNDER)

Why?

Public all over the UNDER

What We Like Here:

  • Nearly 80% of the action on the UNDER
  • Minnesota has won the last six meetings versus Baltimore
  • Jose Berrios has four straight quality starts

What We Don't Like Here:

  • The total has dropped at some books from 10.5 to 9.5
  • Price too high on Minnesota and Berrios at -208
  • Really don't like double headers

This is the first game of a double header.

Locação de arremesso: Twins RH Jose Berrios (2-1, 2.30 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Dan Straily (1-1, 10.24)

Berrios has four straight quality starts out of the gate while striking out 28 in 27 1/3 innings with just five walks. He has held opponents to 15 hits in 27 1/3 innings, including just four over 6 2/3 frames in a win over Detroit on Sunday. The 24-year-old is 2-0 with a 1.76 ERA in two career starts at Camden Yards.

Straily gave up 10 runs in 4 2/3 innings over his first two starts before finding a groove at Boston on Monday. He held the Red Sox to one run and two hits in five innings to pick up his first win with Baltimore. First baseman C.J. Cron is 2-for-3 with a home run and a double against Straily, who has a 2.13 ERA in two career starts versus the Twins.

Giants vs. piratas

Which Team/Total Outcome Stands Out Here:

Gigantes de São Francisco

SOB

Why?

São Francisco Competitivo contra Pittsburgh e dois bons arremessadores saindo sem vitórias

What We Like Here:

  • Essas equipes têm sido competitivas contra uma para a outra, cada uma vencendo cinco de suas dez últimas reuniões
  • São Francisco tem o melhor bullpen agora (uma ERA de 2,33 combinada)
  • Dois arremessadores sólidos, um (Derek Holland) saindo de uma derrota, a outra (Jameson Taillon) ainda por ter uma vitória nesta temporada
  • A tendência total de 7,5 a 7 parece livros tentando fazer as pessoas assumirem o jeito

What We Don't Like Here:

  • Giants apenas 8-13 entrando neste jogo em comparação com os piratas 11-6 recordes
  • Pittsburgh em uma série de vitórias em quatro jogos
  • São Francisco em três jogos perdedores

Melhor de 70% da ação inicial estava nos piratas, mas os fabricantes de probabilidades estavam caindo nessa linha e tornando Pittsburgh mais uma sedução de -165 a -133 favorito.

Locação de arremesso: Giants LH Derek Holland (1-2, 4,09 ERA) vs. Piratas RH Jameson Taillon (0-2, 3,43)

A Holland permitiu quatro corridas de alta temporada em seis entradas em uma derrota para o Colorado em casa no domingo.Ele tem 27 strikeouts em 22 entradas no ano, mas também andou 12 enquanto serve quatro home runs.O jogador de 32 anos trabalhou em cerca de cinco caminhadas em 6 vezes sem gols para obter a vitória em seu único início anterior no PNC Park em maio passado.

Taillon ainda não invadiu a coluna da vitória, embora tenha um começo de qualidade no domingo em Washington, mantendo o National para três corridas em seis quadros.A antiga escolha geral número geral rendeu uma corrida em três acertos em sete entradas em seu único início de casa anterior neste ano, aceitando uma decisão contra St. Louis.Posey é 4 a 6, com dois duplos contra Taillon, que foi alcançado por 12 corridas conquistadas em 12 entradas nas três primeiras partidas na carreira em relação aos Giants.

Metade das últimas dez reuniões resultou em sete ou menos corridas.

While Holland's last start for San Francisco against Pittsburgh resulted in a score of 13-10 (San Francisco winning), his previous start against the Pirates ended with just 5 runs scored (0 by Pittsburgh) while Taillon's last start against San Francisco ended with the Giants scoring just two runs.

GO WITH THE UNDER 7

Rays vs. Red Sox

Which Team/Total Outcome Stands Out Here:

Boston Red Sox

Why?

Line dropping on Tampa and Rick Porcello needs win badly for Boston

What We Like Here:

  • Tempting price on Tampa Bay at home -137
  • 60% of bets on Tampa Bay

What We Don't Like Here:

  • Line movement on Tampa was down from -148 to -137
  • Tampa hot at 14-6
  • Boston just 7-13
  • Tampa is 4-1 in the last five meetings
  • Red Sox suspect starting pitching

The total on this game has moved between 8 and 8.5.  Five of the last seven meetings have resulted in total runs OVER 8.5.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (0-3, 11.12 ERA) vs. Rays RH Charlie Morton (2-0, 2.18)

Porcello issued five walks in four innings and was charged with three runs and six hits in a loss to Baltimore last Saturday, which lowered his ERA from 13.50 to 11.12. The former AL Cy Young Award winner is struggling with his command and issued a total of 12 walks to go with 22 hits in 11 1/3 innings over his first three outings. Porcello made five starts against Tampa Bay last season and went 2-2 with a 4.34 ERA, with both losses coming at Tropicana Field.

Morton is proving to be a solid addition to the Rays staff and surrendered two or fewer runs in each of his first four outings. The 35-year-old completed six innings in only one of those turns and was limited to 4 2/3 innings at Toronto on Sunday while allowing one run and four hits. Morton saw the Red Sox in the playoffs last season as a member of the Houston Astros and was knocked around for three runs on three hits and a pair of walks in 2 1/3 innings.

2019 MLB Record: 5-3-1 (60%)

2018-19 College Basketball Record: 12-9 (57.1%)

2018-19 NBA Record: 7-4 (63.4%)

2018 MLB Record: 45-35 (56.2%)

2018 NBA Record: 12-4-1 (75%)

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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